The Accounting Vol. 6
Fraud, Improper Payments & Recovery

How much Washington overpays.
How often it gets caught.

Every year, the federal government reports to Congress how many of its own payments were wrong — duplicate, ineligible, unverified, outright fraudulent. The total is measured in hundreds of billions. Most is written off. A much smaller number is prosecuted; a smaller number still is recovered. The heaviest losses cluster in the programs and jurisdictions with the weakest oversight: pandemic disbursements under the Biden administration, the Medicare and Medicaid systems in Democratic-run states like California and Minnesota, and state unemployment programs in blue states that accepted federal money faster than they verified who was getting it. This page assembles the primary record — agency Inspectors General, GAO, PRAC, the Justice Department, state auditors — and names the officials in whose offices the money was lost.

Sources: GAO · PRAC · agency OIGs · DOJ · paymentaccuracy.govUpdated Apr 18, 2026, 9:00 AM EDT
§ 00 / Three Numbers

One number is how much the federal government admits it paid in error last year. One is what it has reported over two decades. One is what the Justice Department actually clawed back. The gap between the three is the whole story.

$0.0B
Federal improper payments reported to Congress in FY 2024 across 16 agencies and 68 programs. Five programs — Medicare, Medicaid, the Earned Income Tax Credit, SNAP, and the Restaurant Revitalization Fund — account for about 75% of the total.
GAO report · March 11, 2025Source: GAO-25-107753 · Improper Payments
$0.0T
Cumulative federal improper payments since the Improper Payments Information Act of 2002 first required agencies to report — every dollar Washington has identified as sent out in error, in the wrong amount, to the wrong recipient, or fraudulently.
$0.00B
Federal False Claims Act recoveries for FY 2024 — the amount the Justice Department actually clawed back. Against hundreds of billions in estimated pandemic-era losses alone, the recovery ratio sits in low single-digit percent.

The federal government has published the first two numbers itself, every year, for two decades. The third is the Justice Department’s honest accounting of what it gets back. Reading them side by side is the closest thing this country has to a fraud mirror — and it is not flattering.

§ 01 / Fraud vs. Improper Payments

Two terms. Two scales. Don’t conflate them.

Most of the rest of this page deals in huge numbers. Before we get there, here is the distinction the numbers turn on: an improper payment is any dollar the government sent out wrong. Fraud is a subset of that — the dollars sent out wrong on purpose, with intent to deceive. All fraud is an improper payment. Most improper payments are not fraud.

OMB · Circular A-123, App. C
Improper payment

Any payment that should not have been made, or that was made in an incorrect amount, under statutory, contractual, administrative, or other legally applicable requirements. Includes overpayments, underpayments, payments to ineligible recipients, duplicate payments, and payments for services not received. All fraud is an improper payment, but most improper payments are documentation errors, eligibility errors, or calculation errors — not fraud.

OMB Circular A-123, Appendix C
GAO · Fraud Risk Framework
Fraud

Obtaining something of value through willful misrepresentation. Fraud requires intent; an improper payment does not. When GAO and agency Inspectors General separate the two, the majority of dollar-reported improper payments are errors; the subset that is fraud is the focus of DOJ prosecution.

GAO-24-106608 · Improper Payments and Fraud
GAO · PIIA 2019
Payment integrity

The umbrella term under the Payment Integrity Information Act of 2019. Agencies with high-risk programs must measure, report, and reduce improper payments annually — results land at paymentaccuracy.gov.

paymentaccuracy.gov · federal clearinghouse
Why this matters to how you read this page

When CMS reports a 7.66% Medicare FFS improper-payment rate, the vast majority is insufficient documentation— a billing code that didn’t match the record, a missing physician signature — not a doctor who never saw the patient. When the Justice Department indicts an 11-defendant ring for $10.6 billion in phantom catheter claims, that is fraud. Both numbers are real. Both are on this page. They do not mean the same thing.

§ 02 / The Overall Scale

$161.5 billion last year.
Six programs carry most of it.

Every cabinet agency reports its improper-payment totals to the Office of Management and Budget each fiscal year. GAO consolidates them. Of the $161.5 billion reported for FY 2024, roughly three quarters lives in just six programs. Medicare and Medicaid together account for more than half — the two programs that have been on GAO’s High Risk List for as long as the list has existed.

HHS · CMS · FY 2024$31.70B · 7.66%
Medicare Fee-for-Service (Parts A & B)
CMS · FY 2024 Improper Payments Fact Sheet
HHS · CMS · FY 2024$19.07B · 5.61%
Medicare Advantage (Part C)
CMS · FY 2024 Improper Payments Fact Sheet
HHS · CMS · FY 2024$31.10B · 5.09%
Medicaid (3-year rolling rate)
CMS · FY 2024 Improper Payments Fact Sheet
Treasury · IRS · FY 2024$15.90B · 27.3%
Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)
EITC has stayed above a 22% improper-payment rate for decades despite the statutory 10% goal.
TIGTA 2024-40-036 · refundable tax credits
USDA · FNS · FY 2024$10.50B · 10.93%
SNAP (combined over + underpayment)
USDA FNS · FY 2024 SNAP Payment Error Rates
HHS · CMS · FY 2024$3.58B · 3.7%
Medicare Part D
CMS · FY 2024 Improper Payments Fact Sheet
Two decades of ledger

Since 2003, when the Improper Payments Information Act first required agencies to report, the federal government has identified roughly $2.8 trillion in improper payments across all programs. Four categories — Medicare, Medicaid, the Earned Income Tax Credit, and Unemployment Insurance — have been on GAO’s High Risk List continuously, and together account for roughly two-thirds of the total. The list does not shrink because Congress funds program expansion faster than it funds program integrity.

§ 03 / Pandemic Programs

Three programs. Roughly $300 billion lost.

Congress moved a combined $2 trillion through the Paycheck Protection Program, the Economic Injury Disaster Loan program, and an expanded pandemic unemployment system in two years. The price of that speed shows up in the agency Inspector General reports below. One critical caveat up front: Inspectors General estimate potential fraud using identity indicators and sampling; GAO has publicly flagged that some of these figures may conflate indicators with confirmed fraud. They are the best numbers on the federal record, not closed totals.

Paycheck Protection Program (PPP)
Total disbursed
$793B
Across the life of the program
Estimated fraud
$64.0B
SBA OIG estimate of PPP loans potentially fraudulent
Forgiven / written off
$757B
Policy-choice forgiveness, not the same as fraud loss

About 95% of PPP dollars and 92% of loans have been fully or partially forgiven. Forgiveness is a policy choice built into the program; it is not the same as fraud loss.

GAO has publicly questioned the machine-learning methodology SBA OIG used and flagged that some of the $64B may conflate identity indicators with confirmed fraud. The figure is the best estimate on the federal record but is not a closed total.

SBA OIG 23-09 · EIDL and PPP Loan Fraud Landscape
Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL)
Total disbursed
$400B
Across the life of the program
Estimated fraud
$136B
SBA OIG estimate of EIDL potentially fraudulent

EIDL required almost no up-front identity verification. PRAC later found $55.8B of EIDL disbursements tied to questionable Social Security Numbers.

SBA OIG 23-09 · EIDL and PPP Loan Fraud Landscape
Unemployment Insurance (pandemic)
Total disbursed
$888B
Across the life of the program
Estimated fraud
$118B
GAO estimate of pandemic UI fraud — midpoint of $100–$135B range

DOL OIG separately estimated up to $191B in 'potentially improperly paid' UI, of which a significant portion is fraud. GAO's $100-135B range is the cleanest fraud-only figure.

GAO-23-106696 · Estimated pandemic UI fraud $100–$135B
Still unfolding — the Employee Retention Credit

The pandemic tax credit that became a cottage industry.

The Employee Retention Credit was meant to help businesses keep workers during the pandemic. A market of “ERC mills” — promoters who take a cut of the refund — grew around it. IRS Criminal Investigation has 450 open ERC cases covering roughly $7.0B in potentially fraudulent claims; the IRS has disallowed $5.0B in claims; TIGTA has flagged $42.0Bstill needing review. The IRS’s voluntary-disclosure programs have pulled back $1.8B.

TIGTA 2024-40-068 · Employee Retention Credit
§ 04 / Medicare, Medicaid & California Hospice

Half a trillion in a decade.
And one Los Angeles street corner.

Medicare and Medicaid are the two programs that have never left GAO’s High Risk List. Together they account for about $85 billion in improper payments every year and are the single biggest target of criminal healthcare fraud. The most visible recent example is a Los Angeles phenomenon — a 1,589% explosion in hospice agencies between 2010 and 2022 on the watch of consecutive Democratic mayors (Eric Garcetti, 2013-2022; Karen Bass, 2022-), under Governor Gavin Newsom (D) and Attorney General Rob Bonta (D). The California State Auditor documented $105M overbilled to Medicare in a single county in a single year. The state legislature did not impose a hospice-licensing moratorium until 2022, more than a decade into the boom, and has now extended it through 2027.

Medicare total (A/B/C/D)
$54.35B
FY 2024 improper payments across Fee-for-Service, Medicare Advantage, and Part D
Medicaid (3-yr rolling)
$31.10B
FY 2024 CMS-reported improper payments
2025 Takedown
324 defendants
$14.60B in intended loss — largest healthcare-fraud takedown in US history
Operation Gold Rush
$10.60B
11-defendant Russia-based ring; largest single healthcare fraud case DOJ has ever charged by loss amount
Case study · California hospice fraud

In 2010, Los Angeles County had 109 Medicare-certified hospices. By 2022 it had 1,841 — a 1,589% increase. California’s state auditor investigated. The finding: hospice agencies clustered in LA had likely overbilled Medicare by at least $105 million in 2019 alone, with abnormally long stays, high live-discharge rates, and apparent misuse of physician identifiers. In one documented case, 15 new hospices were enrolled at the same two-story LA building.

Bonta / Skip Trace ring
$267M
21 charged by CA AG April 2026 — dark-web identities, Covered California enrollments, 14 straw-owned hospices
Licenses revoked
280
Since moratorium began Jan 1, 2022; 300 more under active investigation
CMS federal recoveries
$1.60B
Of federal healthcare recoveries across 7 states + DC, 88% came from California enforcement
Moratorium extended
through 2027
AB 177 (2024) extended the Jan 1, 2022 hospice-licensing pause
§ 05 / Case Study · Minnesota

$3.4 million in 2019. $200 million in 2021.
The meals never happened.

Feeding Our Future is, by dollar amount of federal charges, the largest pandemic-relief fraud prosecution in United States history. It happened under Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (D) and Education Commissioner Heather Mueller (appointed by Walz). The Minnesota Office of the Legislative Auditor — the state’s nonpartisan watchdog — found that Minnesota’s Department of Education had identified warning signs as early as 2019, then backed off enforcement in 2020 after the nonprofit sued the state alleging racial discrimination. The OLA called it a chilling effect. The FBI called the result the largest pandemic-relief fraud in the country. The state was DFL-controlled (Minnesota’s Democratic Party) throughout; Attorney General Keith Ellison (D) and Commissioner Mueller both declined to escalate enforcement until the FBI stepped in.

2019 sponsor payouts
$3M
What Feeding Our Future received in its pre-pandemic last year
2021 sponsor payouts
$200M
What it received at peak — a roughly 60× jump in two years
Meals claimed
125M
The nonprofit and its 250+ 'meal sites' billed USDA for this many federally reimbursed meals
Actually spent on food
3%
Minnesota Legislative Auditor finding on the share of disbursed funds that reached food
The oversight thread — what the state auditor actually found

The Minnesota Office of the Legislative Auditor’s 2024 review of the Department of Education documents a specific chain: MDE flags Feeding Our Future as deficient in 2019 and labels it “seriously deficient”in December 2020 — then, after Feeding Our Future sues alleging racial discrimination and Judge John Guthmann holds MDE in contempt for slow-walking site approvals, MDE defersthe serious deficiency and keeps paying. The auditor’s conclusion, quoted in full:

“The threat of legal consequences and negative media attention affected MDE’s decisions about the regulatory actions it did and did not take against Feeding Our Future.”

MDE staff testifying under oath at the 2024 trial said no one gave them a top-down order to stop investigating — the effect was indirect, through litigation and public pressure. The Minnesota Judicial Branch issued a rare public statement correcting Governor Tim Walz’s characterization of the Guthmann orders. Both are part of the record.

The Hallmark gift bag

During the first Feeding Our Future trial, on the night of June 2, 2024, a co-conspirator delivered a Hallmark gift bag containing approximately $120,000 in cash — in stacks of $100s, $50s, and $20s — to the home of a juror, offering more if she voted to acquit. The juror reported it to the court the next morning. She and a second juror were dismissed. Five defendants have since been indicted or pleaded guilty to the bribery; one drove the bag.

Timeline
  1. July 2019

    Minnesota Department of Education identifies early warning signs at Feeding Our Future — a full year before the pandemic and the scheme's explosion.

    Minnesota Office of the Legislative Auditor · MDE oversight review
  2. November 2020

    Feeding Our Future sues MDE in Ramsey County District Court, alleging discrimination 'because of race, national origin, color, and religion.'

    Minnesota Judicial Branch · correcting media and gubernatorial statements
  3. Spring 2021

    Judge John Guthmann finds no legal basis to stop payments and later holds MDE in contempt for slow processing — ordering MDE to pay Feeding Our Future $47,500. The Office of the Legislative Auditor later writes that 'the threat of legal consequences and negative media attention affected MDE's decisions about the regulatory actions it did and did not take' — a chilling effect.

    Minnesota Office of the Legislative Auditor · oversight review
  4. December 2020

    MDE labels Feeding Our Future 'seriously deficient' — then ultimately defers the serious-deficiency findings without enforcement.

    Minnesota OLA · MDE oversight review
  5. February 2021

    FBI opens investigation.

    FBI · Dozens Charged in $250M COVID Fraud Scheme
  6. January 2022

    FBI executes search warrants on Feeding Our Future offices and sponsored meal sites. The nonprofit is dissolved.

    FBI news release · Feeding Our Future
  7. September 20, 2022

    U.S. Attorney Andrew Luger announces charges against 47 defendants in what the DOJ calls the largest pandemic-relief fraud scheme in the country to date.

    DOJ · USAO-MN charging announcement
  8. June 2, 2024

    During the first Feeding Our Future trial, a co-conspirator delivers a Hallmark gift bag containing ~$120,000 in cash to the home of a juror, offering more if she votes to acquit. The juror reports it immediately; she and one other juror are dismissed.

    DOJ · Five Indicted in Feeding Our Future Jury Bribery Scheme
  9. March 19, 2025

    A federal jury finds founder Aimee Bock guilty on all 7 counts; Salim Said guilty on all 21 counts. Bock faces preliminary forfeiture of $5,241,522.79 including a 2013 Porsche.

    DOJ · Federal jury finds Feeding Our Future mastermind guilty
  10. June 13, 2024

    Minnesota's Office of the Legislative Auditor releases its MDE oversight review, concluding the agency identified warning signs years earlier but failed to act — and documenting the chilling effect of the lawsuit on enforcement.

    MN OLA · MDE oversight review
  11. August 6, 2025

    Abdiaziz Shafii Farah, co-owner of Empire Cuisine, is sentenced to 28 years in prison — the second-longest white-collar sentence in Minnesota history — with $47.9M in restitution.

    DOJ · Landmark sentence, Feeding Our Future scheme leader
Key defendants & outcomes
Aimee Bock
Founder and executive director, Feeding Our Future
Convicted on all 7 counts (wire fraud, conspiracy, bribery) Mar 19, 2025. Sentencing May 21, 2026.
Preliminary forfeiture $5.24M incl. 2013 Porsche
DOJ · Bock conviction
Abdiaziz Shafii Farah
Co-owner, Empire Cuisine & Market (Shakopee)
Sentenced Aug 6, 2025 to 28 years (second-longest white-collar sentence in MN history)
Received $28M+; ordered $47.9M restitution
DOJ · Farah sentencing
Abdi Nur Salah
Former senior policy aide to Mpls Mayor Jacob Frey; ran Stigma-Free International used to evade USDA direct-enrollment rules
Pleaded guilty to wire fraud pre-trial (January 2025).
DOJ USAO-MN · Feeding Our Future updates
Abdulkarim Shafii Farah
Juror-bribery conspirator (drove cash to juror's home)
Sentenced April 9, 2026 to 57 months.
DOJ · Juror bribery
Federal response

USDA Food and Nutrition Service finalized a Child Nutrition Program Integrity rule on August 23, 2023. It requires annual state-agency verification of sponsor bank activity, raises the ceiling on state CACFP audit funding from 1.5% to 2% of program funds, and tightens vetting of new sponsors. The rule responds directly to the Feeding Our Future record.

USDA FNS Final Rule · Child Nutrition Program Integrity (August 23, 2023)
Independent journalism as catalyst

Nick Shirley and the video that put Minnesota back in the headlines.

On December 26, 2025, independent journalist Nick Shirley — Independent journalist · YouTube ~1.6M subscribers · X ~1.2M followers— published a roughly 42-minute video visiting Minneapolis-area daycare centers in the Somali community. Visited Minneapolis-area daycare centers alleging fraud at Somali-run sites. KARE 11 (NBC Minneapolis) later confirmed the specific sites he filmed had received a combined $6.3 million via Feeding Our Future. The video passed 100M+ views on X within daysand pulled renewed congressional and public attention to a fraud record that Minnesota’s own Legislative Auditor had already published.

Published ~40-minute California follow-up in March 2026 alleging $170M in daycare + hospice fraud. Timing aligned with CA AG Bonta's April 9, 2026 $267M LA hospice indictment.

Reporters at NPR, the Minnesota Reformer, and CNN have flagged Shirley's on-the-ground confrontational style as tip-driven rather than evidentiary. His videos have catalyzed public and congressional scrutiny; the primary-source record of actual fraud is compiled by DOJ, state auditors, and HHS OIG. We treat Shirley as a catalyst, not the evidence.

California’s legislative response · California AB 2624

The bill dubbed the “Stop Nick Shirley Act.”

Weeks after Shirley’s March 2026 video on California daycare and hospice fraud, Assemblymember Assemblymember Mia Bonta (D-Oakland) — wife of California Attorney General Rob Bonta (D) introduced California AB 2624, formally titled “Privacy for Immigration Support Services Providers.”

Expands California's Safe at Home address-confidentiality program to cover "designated immigration support services providers," their employees, and volunteers. Prohibits posting, soliciting, selling, or trading the personal information or image of such providers online.

Republican Assemblymembers Alexandra Macedo and Carl DeMaio cast the only "no" votes. DeMaio publicly dubbed it the "Stop Nick Shirley Act," arguing the image-publication provision could apply to independent journalists filming at alleged fraud sites.

Editorial honesty note: Snopes rated the "criminalizes investigative journalism" framing as partly misleading — the bill is narrow in scope. The framing is contested; the coincidence of the timing (filed weeks after Shirley's viral Minnesota / California fraud videos) is not.

Status: Amended and advancing through the Assembly; Committee analysis dated April 7, 2026.
§ 06 / Blue-State UI Fraud

Three Democratic governors.
Roughly $14 billion gone.

Every state ran the same federal pandemic-unemployment programs. Not every state got looted at the same rate. The three cases below — all under Democratic governors, all on the federal record via state auditors and the U.S. Department of Labor Inspector General — show how a combination of waived identity verification, broken fraud-flagging systems, and delayed integration with the federal Integrity Data Hub turned blue states into the hardest-hit targets of the pandemic UI fraud wave.

Michigan

Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D)
Fraudulent payouts
$8.5B

Michigan Unemployment Insurance Agency paid $8.4–$8.5B in potentially fraudulent pandemic claims between March 2020 and September 2021. The agency also blocked an estimated $43.7B in attempted fraud — most of the attacks were stopped, but Michigan's paid-out fraud still accounts for roughly 6-9% of the national $100-135B pandemic UI fraud total (GAO-23-106696), despite the state representing about 3% of U.S. population. Whitmer responded with an executive order standing up a permanent UI Fraud Response Team inside LEO.

Detroit News · UIA pegs pandemic UI losses at more than $8.5B

Illinois

Governor J.B. Pritzker (D)
Fraudulent payouts
$5.2B

Illinois State Auditor confirmed $5.2 billion in overpayments during the first 18 months of the pandemic — of which roughly $1.9 billion was paid to illegitimate accounts. The Illinois Department of Employment Security did not implement the federal Integrity Data Hub (the multi-state crossmatch system) until September 2021 — a year and a half after pandemic benefits started flowing.

Capitol News Illinois · state audit finds billions in UI fraud

Washington

Governor Jay Inslee (D)
Fraudulent payouts
$600M

Washington's Employment Security Department paid out at least $600 million in fraudulent claims during the pandemic's first wave, much of it to the Nigerian cybercriminal network "Scattered Canary." An automated fraud-risk flagging system was broken from early 2020 through May 2020; the state's "waiting week" for benefits had been waived under federal pressure. Abidemi Rufai — already featured in our prosecutions gallery — is one of the named defendants from this ring.

Seattle Times · Scattered Canary investigation
The share of the national total

GAO puts total pandemic UI fraud at $100 billion to $135 billion nationwide (GAO-23-106696). Michigan’s $8.5Band Illinois’s $5.2B together come to roughly 12% of the national total — even though the two states combined represent only about 7% of U.S. population. The fraud was national. Its concentration was not.

§ 07 / Case Study · Los Angeles

The Mayor was in Ghana.
The reservoir had been empty 11 months.

This section is about governance failure, not fraud. The January 2025 Pacific Palisades fire exposed a series of maintenance and leadership decisions that had accumulated inside Democratic-run Los Angeles over the preceding year. Under Mayor Karen Bass (D) and Governor Gavin Newsom (D), the city’s Santa Ynez Reservoir sat empty, its fire chief’s written warning about budget cuts went unanswered, and the mayor was out of the country when the fire started — despite a fire-weather watch issued four days earlier.

Reservoir capacity
117M gallons
Santa Ynez Reservoir — drained and offline for repairs an estimated 11 months before the fire broke out January 7, 2025
Mayor's location
Ghana
Bass flew to Accra on January 4 as head of a U.S. delegation; the National Weather Service had issued a fire-weather watch for LA on January 3
LAFD FY24-25 budget cut
$17.5M
Line-item cut signed by Bass in June 2024. Total LAFD spend rose due to offsetting firefighter raises, but Chief Crowley's own December 2024 memo warned of operational impact before the fire.
Chief Kristin Crowley
Fired February 21, 2025
Bass removed Crowley after the fire. Crowley filed a retaliation and defamation lawsuit against the city in February 2026.
The Mayor’s chronology

Bass flew to Ghana on January 4, 2025 as head of a U.S. presidential delegation — despite a fire-weather watch issued by the National Weather Service on January 3. The Palisades Fire ignited at approximately 10:30 a.m. PT on January 7. Bass later acknowledged: "If I had all of the information that I needed to have, the last thing I would have done was to be out of town."

The memo, in writing, one month before the fire
“[The budget cuts have] adversely affected the Department's ability to maintain core operations.”
— LAFD Chief Kristin Crowley, December 2024 memo to the Board of Fire Commissioners
On the empty reservoir — what the state actually found

The November 20, 2025 CalEPA Final Palisades Fire and Water Supply Analysis — a primary state report — concluded that even a full Santa Ynez Reservoir would have added only ~5,500 gallons per minute and would not have kept hydrants pressurized during the demand spike. The empty reservoir was a separate, parallel failure of maintenance governance, not the cause of the hydrant collapse. The honest frame is: two distinct oversight failures, not one.

§ 08 / FEMA & DHS · Two Recent Cases

Whose homes get help.
Whose housing gets the check.

Two separate recent cases, both inside the disaster-and-shelter funding ecosystem. The first is a FEMA supervisor telling her team to skip homes with Trump signs during Hurricane Milton recovery in Florida. The second is the DHS Shelter and Services Program routing billions to Democratic-run cities to house migrants — a program that is often mischaracterized as “FEMA disaster money,” but is actually funded by Customs and Border Protection. Both are on the primary record.

Case 1 · Marn’i Washington

FEMA Supervisor, Hurricane Milton Recovery, Florida

FEMA disaster-recovery supervisor, Hurricane Milton response, Lake Placid, FL · Fired November 8, 2024
"Avoid homes advertising Trump" — Washington's own message to her team on Microsoft Teams, per FEMA internal communications. Reporting documents ~20 homes displaying Trump signs or flags that her team skipped in October-November 2024.

FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell (Biden appointee) called the action "reprehensible" and said Washington "had no authority and was given no direction to tell teams to avoid these homes." Washington told CNN she was following agency protocol for hostile environments and had been "scapegoated."

Office of Special Counsel

U.S. Office of Special Counsel filed a complaint alleging Washington violated the Hatch Act (the federal statute barring political activity in the conduct of official duties).

Florida civil suit

Florida Attorney General Ashley Moody sued FEMA, Criswell, and Washington alleging civil-rights violations of Florida residents.

Case 2 · DHS Shelter and Services Program
Accuracy note up front

The framing that this is "FEMA disaster money going to migrants" — circulated by Elon Musk and others in early 2025 — is not accurate. Both PolitiFact and FactCheck.org rated that framing false: SSP is funded by Customs and Border Protection appropriations, not FEMA's Disaster Relief Fund. The real story — the scale of federal payments, the clawback litigation, the House investigation — does not need the inaccurate FEMA framing to be damning.

NYC · SSP-A
$59.3M
FY 2024 allocated grant — Roosevelt Hotel and other shelter sites
NYC · SSP-C
$22.2M
FY 2024 competitive grant
NYC clawback
$80.0M
DHS revoked in early 2025 after Trump administration review. NYC sued and lost.
Chicago SSP
$8.5M
Combined Illinois + Chicago FY 2023 awards
The clawback

The Trump administration's DHS clawed back approximately $80 million in SSP grants from New York City in early 2025. NYC sued and lost — the court permitted the clawback.

House investigation

House Committee on Homeland Security opened a formal investigation March 26, 2025, with letters to the mayors of New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago (Mayors Adams, Bass, and Johnson — all Democrats). The investigation targets whether SSP-funded entities engaged in or facilitated illegal activities.

Program scale

Congress appropriated $650.0M to SSP in FY 2024 alone. Combined SSP and the older Emergency Food and Shelter Program (EFSP-H), the House Homeland Security Committee reports more than $1.40B flowed to state, local, and NGO recipients to house migrants in FY 2023 + FY 2024 combined.

What this is and is not

No criminal charges have been filed against any named federal, state, or local official in connection with SSP administration. The current posture is administrative clawback, House investigation, and civil litigation. SSP is an appropriated program doing what Congress told it to do — the accountability question is about whether SSP-funded entities spent the money as intended and whether Democratic-run cities (NYC, LA, Chicago) used these federal funds consistent with federal law.

§ 09 / DOGE — Claims vs. Verification

$200 billion claimed.
$2 billion independently verified.

The Department of Government Efficiency was established by executive order on January 20, 2025 with a stated mandate to surface waste, fraud, and abuse. It posted a running “wall of receipts” at doge.gov claiming cumulative savings that climbed past $200 billion by the time it was formally dissolved in November 2025. Independent reviewers — NPR, CBS News, CNN, Bank of America Securities, the American Enterprise Institute — did not come anywhere close to that figure. This section presents both ledgers, sourced.

Established
January 20, 2025
Executive Order 14158
Musk status
SGE · 130-day cap
Special Government Employee (unpaid); 130-day cap expired May 30, 2025
Musk departed
May 28, 2025
Two days before the 130-day statutory cap expired
Federal workforce
−317K
Net federal workforce reduction in 2025 per Bloomberg / OPM data — the most concrete downstream effect
Claim ↔ verification ledger

Total 'savings' posted to the DOGE wall of receipts

Disputed
DOGE claim
$200.00B
$200B (peak claimed at DOGE's November 2025 dissolution; figure shifted repeatedly)
Independent verification
$2.00B
NPR · line-by-line reconciliation against federal contract data

American Enterprise Institute (conservative) put the figure closer to $80B. Bank of America Securities called $24.8B in claimed contract savings 'overstated.' No independent review has come close to confirming $200B.

NPR · DOGE contract-savings reconciliation · Feb 19, 2025

A single ICE contract posted as $8 billion in savings

Documented error
DOGE claim
$8.00B
$8B posted to DOGE site
Independent verification
$8.0M
CNN · contract-data review

Actual contract ceiling was $8M. Thousand-fold overstatement. DOGE later adjusted the figure.

CNN · 1,000× error · Feb 19, 2025

A Social Security contract posted as $232 million

Documented error
DOGE claim
$232.0M
$232M posted to DOGE site
Independent verification
$560K
CBS News · contract review

Actual contract value $560,000 — a 415× overstatement.

CBS · misleading wall-of-receipts claims

A USAID contract counted three times in claimed savings

Retracted by DOGE
DOGE claim
$655.0M
$655M triple-counted
Independent verification
$18.0M
CBS News · USAID wall-of-receipts

DOGE removed the entry after independent reporting. Net actual savings roughly $18M.

CBS · USAID contract removed from wall of receipts

Net effect on taxpayers after severance, rehiring, settlements, productivity loss

Disputed
DOGE claim
$160B claimed savings (CBS mid-2025)
Independent verification
−$135.00B
CBS News · net-cost analysis

A single outside analysis, not a GAO finding. Reports DOGE claimed $160B saved while estimating $135B in downstream taxpayer costs from severance, contractor termination fees, litigation, reduced productivity, and lost IRS revenue.

CBS · DOGE cuts cost $135B net

Judicial ruling on the USAID shutdown

Documented error
DOGE claim
Independent verification
U.S. District Court (D. Md.) · Judge Theodore Chuang

Judge Chuang ruled Musk and DOGE 'likely violated the Constitution' in the USAID shutdown on separation-of-powers and Appointments Clause grounds. The Fourth Circuit later stayed the ruling on the grounds that named agency officials — not Musk — had formally signed the actions; the shutdown proceeded.

AFGE · Judge rules USAID dismantling unconstitutional

Treasury payment-system access

Partial
DOGE claim
Independent verification
U.S. District Court (SDNY) · Judge Jeannette Vargas

A 19-state AG lawsuit blocked DOGE access to Treasury's central disbursing system in February 2025. Judge Vargas later permitted limited, controlled access in May 2025 after training and disclosure protocols were in place.

Courthouse News · DOGE Treasury TRO
What this page does and does not say

This page does not say DOGE did nothing. Federal workforce attrition in 2025 is real and documented. Some contracts DOGE flagged were genuinely questionable and have been trimmed. What this page does say is that the specific savings totals DOGE posted to its own website repeatedly failed independent verification — most prominently by CBS, NPR, and CNN using the same federal contract data DOGE drew from. Where DOGE corrected its own figures, we log the correction. Where it did not, we log the gap.

§ 10 / Named-Defendant Gallery

Twelve prosecutions.
Every one with a DOJ source link.

This is the page’s accountability ledger. Each entry is a federal prosecution with a live Justice Department or federal agency press release. We include them because they illustrate how the fraud actually worked — not because they exhaust the record. The DOJ COVID-19 Fraud Enforcement Task Force has charged more than 3,500 defendants; this is a representative sample of the largest by dollar amount or civic significance.

Aimee Bock

USDA nutrition · MN
Founder and executive director, Feeding Our Future (Minnesota, under Gov. Tim Walz (D) and the DFL-controlled state legislature)
Scheme

Largest pandemic-relief fraud in U.S. history to date. Feeding Our Future grew from a $3.4M sponsor in 2019 to $200M in 2021 by opening 250+ 'meal sites' and billing USDA for an alleged 125 million meals. Only about 3% of disbursed funds actually went to food. The Minnesota Department of Education, led by Walz-appointed Commissioner Heather Mueller, had flagged the organization as deficient but deferred enforcement after Feeding Our Future sued alleging racial discrimination.

Amount
$250.0M
Outcome
Convicted on all 7 counts March 19, 2025. Preliminary forfeiture $5.24M. Sentencing May 21, 2026. MN Attorney General Keith Ellison (D) revoked Feeding Our Future's nonprofit status in 2021 — after federal agents had already begun investigating.
DOJ · USAO-MN · Bock conviction

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL-20)

FEMA · FL
Sitting U.S. Representative, Democrat. Her family's Trinity Health Care Services held a FEMA-funded COVID-19 vaccine contract
Scheme

Retained a $5 million FEMA overpayment, laundered through shell consulting firms, routed $1.14M back into her 2021 special-election campaign via straw donors. Later alleged Haiti-oil money routing through a husband-linked nonprofit.

Amount
$5.1M
Outcome
Indicted November 19, 2025 (SDFL). 15 counts; max exposure 53 years. Trial February 8, 2027. House Ethics Committee found 25 of 27 counts proven by clear and convincing evidence on March 27, 2026 — the first full Ethics Committee trial since Charles Rangel (D-NY) in 2010.
DOJ · Office of Public Affairs · charging announcement

Richard Ayvazyan family ring

EIDL · CA
Encino family running a 150-app EIDL/PPP fraud ring on synthetic and deceased IDs
Scheme

Filed more than 150 fraudulent PPP and EIDL applications using fake and stolen identities. Bought luxury homes and vehicles with the proceeds; Richard fled to Montenegro mid-trial before being returned.

Amount
$21.7M
Outcome
Richard: 17 years. Marietta Terabelian (wife): 6 years. Artur Ayvazyan (brother): 5 years.
DOJ · USAO-CDCA · Ayvazyan sentencing

Nathan Reis (Blueacorn co-founder)

PPP · AZ
Co-founder of Blueacorn, an SBA-delegated PPP lender-service provider
Scheme

Fabricated tax returns and bank statements through a lender-service shop, approving more than 530 PPP loans that never should have funded.

Amount
$65.0M
Outcome
10 years in prison plus $66M restitution ordered.
DOJ · OPA · Blueacorn co-founder sentencing

Maurice 'Mo' Fayne ('Love & Hip Hop: Atlanta')

PPP · GA
Reality-TV personality who ran a pre-pandemic Ponzi scheme
Scheme

Took a $2M PPP loan for a trucking company he controlled and immediately spent it on a Rolls Royce, Rolex, child-support debt, and $5M in casino play.

Amount
$2.0M
Outcome
17 years 6 months plus $4.47M restitution ordered.
DOJ · USAO-NDGA · Fayne sentencing

Josh Bellamy (NFL wide receiver)

PPP · FL
Former NFL player; part of a 25-defendant Miami PPP conspiracy
Scheme

Took $1.2M in PPP funds to spend on luxury goods and casinos.

Amount
$1.2M
Outcome
37 months federal prison.
DOJ · Bellamy indictment in $24M conspiracy

Abidemi Rufai

Unemployment · WA
Special Assistant to the Governor of Ogun State, Nigeria
Scheme

Used 20,000+ stolen American identities to file pandemic unemployment claims in Washington state and 17 other states.

Amount
$350,763
Outcome
60 months (5 years) federal prison.
DOJ · USAO-WDWA · Rufai plea

Janet Yamanaka Mello ('The Gucci Goddess')

Army grants · TX
Department of Army civilian financial manager
Scheme

Over a decade, funneled Army youth-program grants into her own shell nonprofit. Bought 82 vehicles including Ferraris and a Maserati, plus luxury real estate.

Amount
$108.9M
Outcome
15 years in federal prison.
DOJ · USAO-WDTX · Mello sentencing

Leon Haynes

ERC tax credit · NJ
Tax preparer
Scheme

Sought more than $170M in fraudulent COVID-era tax refunds for fictitious business clients, including pandemic tax credits.

Amount
$170.0M
Outcome
12 years in federal prison. $55M+ restitution to the IRS.
DOJ · OPA · Haynes sentencing

Operation Gold Rush TCO (11 defendants)

Medicare · Multinational (Russia-based)
Transnational criminal organization that acquired 20+ Medicare durable-medical-equipment companies
Scheme

Billed Medicare for catheters and other devices that were never provided. Largest single health-care-fraud case DOJ has ever charged by loss amount.

Amount
$10.60B
Outcome
Indicted June 2025; $27.7M seized; prosecution ongoing as part of the 324-defendant 2025 takedown.
HHS OIG · Operation Gold Rush indictment

Los Angeles hospice ring (21 defendants · CA AG 'Skip Trace')

Medicare · CA
Straw owners of 14 California hospice companies operating in Democratic-controlled Los Angeles
Scheme

Purchased personal identifying information for non-California residents off the dark web, enrolled stolen identities in Medi-Cal through Covered California, and billed Medicare and Medi-Cal for services never provided. The scheme unfolded during the 1,589% LA hospice-agency explosion that California State Auditor 2021-123 documented, under Governor Gavin Newsom (D) and LA Mayors Garcetti / Bass (D).

Amount
$267.0M
Outcome
21 charged by California Attorney General Rob Bonta (D) in April 2026 — four years after the state auditor first flagged the pattern. Cases pending.
California Attorney General · $267M hospice-fraud indictment

Arizona sober-living fraud ring (100+ defendants)

Medicaid · AZ
Behavioral-health operators targeting the AHCCCS American Indian Health Program
Scheme

Billed Arizona's Medicaid agency for services that were never provided to Indigenous residents held in 'sober living' homes. At least 40 Indigenous residents died during the scheme.

Amount
$2.50B
Outcome
100+ indicted; $125M recovered as of early 2026.
Arizona AHCCCS · sober-living fraud enforcement hub
What this gallery does not include

A prosecution is not a verdict, and a verdict is not the whole record. Defendants in pending cases are presumed innocent. This page does not list every pending or unindicted case; only those with a live federal charging document or conviction. We do not include civil settlements where no admission of wrongdoing exists. We do not list state-level prosecutions except where the state case is the primary public record (California hospice, Arizona sober-living). The DOJ press release linked on each card is the authoritative description of the allegations.

§ 11 / Recovered vs. Written Off

Hundreds of billions lost.
Single-digit billions recovered.

The most honest number on this page is the recovery ratio. Against pandemic-era fraud exposure of roughly $300–335 billion in just the three largest programs (PPP, EIDL, and UI), total federal recoveries sit in the low single-digit billions. The Justice Department will keep prosecuting — the statute of limitations on many pandemic-era cases runs until 2030–2032 — but the bulk of the money is gone.

FY 2024 FCA settlements
$2.92B
Up from $2.68B in FY 2023 · $2.40B (83%) from whistleblower qui tam suits
Pandemic share of that
$250M
Pandemic / PPP-related FCA recoveries in FY 2024 alone — up from $48M the year before
Task Force cumulative
$1.40B
Through the DOJ COVID-19 Fraud Enforcement Task Force · 3,500+ defendants charged
The honest ratio

Against a pandemic exposure of roughly $300–$335 billion in SBA OIG + GAO-identified fraud, federal recoveries across all channels — DOJ, SBA OIG, DOL OIG, and FCA settlements — come to roughly 5 billion. A recovery ratio of 12%. That ratio is not a final number — the pandemic statute of limitations runs until 2030–2032, and cases keep closing — but it is the clearest answer to the question readers actually ask: of the money that was stolen, how much came back?

§ 12 / Why the System Misses So Much

Four gaps.
All of them known. All of them documented.

The oversight story is not that nobody saw this coming. GAO, PRAC, and individual agency Inspectors General warned about each of the failures below, in writing, before the fraud happened. Congress and the agencies did not act on the warnings with enough speed or resources. These are the four gaps that keep showing up in the audits.

  1. Gap · 01
    Pre-award identity verification bypassed

    PRAC analyzed 33 million pandemic applications and found 69,323 questionable Social Security numbers linked to $5.4 billion in SBA pandemic loans and grants. A follow-up alert found $38 million in pandemic loans went to dead people.

    PRAC Fraud Alert · Jan 2023 · 69K SSNs, $5.4B
  2. Gap · 02
    Treasury Do-Not-Pay screening not integrated

    PRAC estimated pre-award vetting using data analytics could have prevented over $79 billion in potentially fraudulent pandemic-relief payments — $55.8B in EIDL, $13.8B in PPP, $9.8B in pandemic UI — tied to 1.4 million stolen or invalid SSNs. Most programs simply did not query the federal Do-Not-Pay list before cutting checks.

    PRAC · Pre-Award Vetting Alert · $79B preventable
  3. Gap · 03
    Self-certification replaced documentation

    To move money fast, SBA and state UI systems accepted applicant self-certification of eligibility and waived routine documentation checks. Fintech-delegated lenders like Blueacorn, Kabbage, and Womply collected processing fees per approved loan — a pay-per-volume structure that rewarded throughput over verification.

    SBA OIG 23-09 · EIDL and PPP Loan Fraud Landscape
  4. Gap · 04
    Agency-to-agency data sharing still broken

    GAO's 2025 update to the High Risk List notes that Medicare, Medicaid, UI, and EITC have remained on the list for decades in part because eligibility data, death-master files, prison-roster files, and state UI data are not consistently shared across agencies — a long-standing structural fix that has not happened.

    GAO · 2025 High Risk List update
The structural point

Program-integrity funding inside federal agencies is a rounding error against the size of the programs themselves. Medicare spends about a trillion dollars a year; CMS’s program-integrity budget is under one-tenth of one percent of that. SBA moved $1.2 trillion in pandemic loans through a delegated network that earned fees per approved application. The dollars needed to catch fraud before it leaves the Treasury are tiny compared to the dollars needed to recover it after. Every audit on this page makes the same point, in different words.

§ 13 / How to Verify This

The government tells on itself —
if you know where to read.

Nothing on this page came from leaked documents. Every figure is published by the federal government or one of its Inspectors General. These are the sites oversight professionals, auditors, and investigative reporters use. Bookmark them for the next program, the next contract, the next story.

Read the master federal improper-payments database

paymentaccuracy.gov aggregates every agency's annual Improper Payments report under the Payment Integrity Information Act. Filter by program, year, or risk level. This is the single source-of-truth for 'how much Washington overpays.'

paymentaccuracy.gov
Follow pandemic-era fraud findings

PRAC (Pandemic Response Accountability Committee) tracks CARES / ARP / CAA fraud across all agencies and all states. Interactive dashboards on prosecutions, recoveries, and agency audits.

PandemicOversight.gov
Read GAO's High Risk List

Biennial report naming federal programs most vulnerable to fraud, waste, and mismanagement. Medicare, Medicaid, UI, and EITC have been on the list for decades.

GAO · High Risk List
Check agency Inspectors General directly

Each cabinet agency's OIG publishes audits, semiannual reports to Congress, and investigative case summaries. oversight.gov federates searches across all of them.

oversight.gov · federated IG search
Look up federal contracts and grants

USAspending.gov lists every federal award: contracts, grants, direct payments, loans. Cross-reference any fraud claim against the actual award record.

USAspending.gov
Check DOGE's own postings

doge.gov lists claimed contract cancellations and 'wall of receipts.' Read alongside USAspending.gov and GAO reports — the fastest way to tell claimed savings from verified ones.

doge.gov
Read DOJ fraud-section press releases

The Justice Department's Criminal Fraud Section publishes charging and sentencing press releases for every major federal fraud prosecution. Searchable by program, district, or date.

justice.gov · Criminal Fraud Section
File a FOIA request

FOIA.gov routes public-records requests to the right agency for anything that isn't already published on the sites above.

FOIA.gov