May 17, 2026 · TDS Watch · NAEP Plummet · Randi Weingarten · AFT

Student Scores Hit Historic Lows.
The AFT Head Spent the Week Ranting About Trump.

On September 9, 2025, the National Assessment Governing Board released the latest Nation’s Report Card. Twelfth-grade math had fallen to 147 — the lowest since the assessment began in 2005. Twelfth-grade reading dropped to 283, the lowest in more than three decades. 45 percent of high-school seniors scored below NAEP Basic in math — the highest percentage ever recorded. Thirty-two percent fell below Basic in reading — also a record. Eighth-grade science dropped four points since 2019. Earlier in the year, the January 29, 2025 release had already shown 33 percent of 8th graders below Basic in reading (largest ever) and 40 percent of 4th graders below Basic in reading (highest since 2002).

As Catherine Salgado documented at PJ Media on May 17, 2026, the response of Randi Weingarten (D) — president of the American Federation of Teachers since 2008, a union whose own internal communications with the CDC have been scrutinized by House Oversight — was to spend the past week posting on Bluesky. Not about reading scores. Not about math scores. Not about science. About Trump’s immigration policy. About DACA. About SCOTUS and gerrymandering. About voting rights. Weingarten left X in January 2026 and now posts from @rweingarten.bsky.social.

What the silence on test scores costs is itself a measurable figure. Stanford economist Eric Hanushek and co-author Bradley Strauss calculated in a 2024 working paper that pandemic learning loss alone equates to $31 trillion in lost lifetime US earnings — roughly $70,000 per student. The 74 / EdNext estimates the compounded decade-long decline at $90 trillion in forgone future GDP growth. The COVID school-closure period that AFT and Weingarten lobbied to extend cost roughly fifteen times the entire pandemic recession in human capital. Then, in September 2025, Weingarten released a book titled “Why Fascists Fear Teachers.”

§ 01 / The Score Plunge — NAEP Records Smashed

The Nation’s Report Card — administered by the U.S. Department of Education’s independent National Assessment Governing Board — is the benchmark for academic achievement in the United States. Two NAEP releases in 2025 documented the worst results in the program’s history across multiple subjects and grade levels.

NAEP — Sept. 9, 2025 (Grades 8 & 12)

12th-grade math: 147 — lowest since the assessment began in 2005.

12th-grade reading: 283 — lowest in more than three decades.

12th graders below NAEP Basic in math: 45% — highest percentage ever recorded.

12th graders below NAEP Basic in reading: 32% — largest share ever.

8th-grade science: –4 points since 2019.

Source: National Assessment Governing Board official press release, September 9, 2025.

NAEP — Jan. 29, 2025 (Grades 4 & 8 reading and math)

33% of 8th graders below Basic in reading — largest share ever recorded.

40% of 4th graders below Basic in reading — highest since 2002.

Source: National Assessment Governing Board official press release, January 29, 2025.

Today's NAEP results confirm a devastating trend: American students are testing at historic lows across all of K-12. Nearly half of America's high school seniors are testing at below basic levels in math and reading.

Sec. Linda McMahon (R) · U.S. Dept. of Education statement · September 9, 2025

A line can be drawn between these falling scores, and the fact that the Biden-Harris administration colluded with teachers' unions to keep schools shuttered long after public health officials said they could be reopened.

Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA), Chair, Senate HELP Committee · January 29, 2025
§ 02 / The Rant — Weingarten on Bluesky

In the week leading up to May 17, 2026 — as the latest scores continued to circulate among researchers and policymakers — the president of the 1.8-million-member American Federation of Teachers posted on the social network Bluesky, where she migrated after leaving X in January 2026. Catherine Salgado at PJ Media surveyed those posts. None addressed the test scores. The topics, in Weingarten’s own words:

Randi Weingarten
@rweingarten.bsky.social · May 13, 2026 · Bluesky

New evidence shows that Trump's extreme immigration crackdown has hurt local economies and job growth. It's time to rein in the chaos and violence ICE is causing in our communities.

Randi Weingarten
@rweingarten.bsky.social · May 16, 2026 · Bluesky

The Trump administration is now targeting people here legally through DACA, deporting them from the only country many have known as home, separating them from their families and forcing them out of their jobs. It's cruel — Dreamers deserve a pathway to citizenship.

Randi Weingarten
@rweingarten.bsky.social · May 16, 2026 · Bluesky

So SCOTUS enables some states to move so quickly they suspend elections to gerrymander but refuses to allow a voter approved plan to go forward. What's the difference? Which party is in power.

The pattern is the entire feed, not a curated sample. When the head of the second-largest American teachers’ union posts during the worst NAEP results in the assessment’s history, and immigration enforcement and gerrymandering are her chosen topics, the absence of education content is itself the editorial fact.

§ 03 / The COVID Closures She Lobbied For

The score collapse did not begin in 2025. Its roots are documented in House Oversight’s April 2023 hearing, in which AFT President Weingarten testified about the union’s contacts with the Biden-era CDC under Director Rochelle Walenskyon school-reopening guidance. Internal emails, released by the Committee, showed AFT staff recommending edits to CDC guidance — edits that ultimately appeared in the final document. AFT later denied that this constituted “conspiring” with the CDC; Committee documents characterized it as “uncommon influence.”

Local officials in Democratic-run cities have since gone on the record. Former Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot (D) — who fought the Chicago Teachers Union throughout 2020 and 2021 over reopening — has summarized the experience plainly.

The union needed to work with us and they never did that.

Lori Lightfoot (D), former Mayor of Chicago · on teachers' union COVID-era school reopening

Biden Education Secretary Miguel Cardona (D) led the federal Department of Education from 2021 through 2025 during the period now identified by NAEP as the steepest sustained decline in modern American achievement testing. He has not publicly resigned that record.

§ 04 / The 520-Page House Report

Representative Brad Wenstrup (R-OH) — chairman of the House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Pandemic — issued subpoenas to AFT during the panel’s investigation. The final 520-page report documented the interaction between AFT, the CDC, and the Biden White House on reopening guidance in detail. Education Week, citing primary documents, reported the union’s denials alongside the documentary record showing language adopted from union submissions verbatim.

Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) — now chair of the Senate HELP Committee — issued his January 29, 2025 statement in response to the NAEP release of that same date. He named the union explicitly. So did Secretary Linda McMahon (R), confirmed as Trump’s second-term Education Secretary in 2025.

I don't think anyone can look at the scores that we have seen this year… and [think] that we were not failing our students. We need a hard reset in education in this country.

Sec. Linda McMahon (R) · U.S. Dept. of Education
§ 05 / The Cost — $31 Trillion in Lost Lifetime Earnings

The cost of a single year of lost learning, applied at scale, is not abstract. Stanford economist Eric Hanushek — one of the most cited education-economics scholars alive — and co-author Bradley Strauss calculated in a 2024 Stanford working paper that pandemic-era learning loss equates to $31 trillion in lost lifetime US earnings, or roughly $70,000 per student. The 74 / EdNext put the compounded effect of the broader decade-long decline at $90 trillion in forgone future GDP growth.

The Math of Lost Learning

$31 trillion— lifetime US earnings loss from pandemic learning loss alone (Hanushek & Strauss, Stanford 2024).

~$70,000 — average lifetime earnings loss per affected student.

$90 trillion — compounded decade-long decline, EdNext / The 74 estimate.

~15x — ratio of pandemic-era human-capital loss to the entire pandemic recession.

Sources:Hanushek & Strauss 2024 Stanford working paper; The 74 interview with Eric Hanushek.

§ 06 / The Book — 'Why Fascists Fear Teachers'

In September 2025 — the same month the worst 12th-grade NAEP numbers in two decades were released — Weingarten published a book with Beacon Press titled “Why Fascists Fear Teachers.”The Rolling Stone excerpt and the publisher’s own jacket copy frame the argument plainly:

Attacks on schools and teachers have long been a hallmark of fascist regimes… Fascists fear teachers because teachers foster an educated and empowered population that can see past propaganda and scare tactics.

Randi Weingarten, 'Why Fascists Fear Teachers' (Beacon Press, Sept. 2025) — Rolling Stone excerpt

On the Trump administration’s January 2025 executive order expanding federal support for school choice, AFT’s official press release — under Weingarten’s name — described the order in the following terms:

A ham-fisted, recycled, and likely illegal scheme to diminish choice and deny classrooms resources to pay for tax cuts for billionaires.

Randi Weingarten (D), AFT President · AFT press release on Trump school-choice executive order

President Donald Trump (R) has continued to back school-choice expansions at the state level from his own Truth Social account, including direct endorsements of legislation in Tennessee and Idaho.

T
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump · Feb. 2025 · Truth Social

Congratulations to Tennessee Legislators who are working hard to pass School Choice this week, which I totally support. We will very soon be sending Education BACK TO THE STATES, where it belongs.

T
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump · Feb. 2025 · Truth Social

Idaho's bill to provide up to $5,000 in tax credits for parents has my complete and total support — MUST PASS!

Teachers Union Leader Randi Weingarten SMEARS Trump Voters as FASCISTS!
Watch Teacher's Union Head Fume as She Realizes That Trump Is Winning
American Federation of Teachers Union President Randi Weingarten attempts to re-write history
Fox: Teacher union boss attempts to re-write history with 'preposterous' claim
Greg Gutfeld (2020): Teachers Union Releases List of Reopening Demands
§ 07 / The Bottom Line
Who Runs This Story

Randi Weingarten (D) — AFT President since 2008; union has 1.8 million members.

Becky Pringle (D) — NEA President since July 2020; union has 2.8 million members.

Miguel Cardona (D) — Biden Education Secretary, 2021–2025; presided over the steepest sustained NAEP decline in modern testing history.

Rochelle Walensky — Biden-appointed CDC Director during the 2021 school-reopening guidance process.

Lori Lightfoot (D) — former Mayor of Chicago; fought the Chicago Teachers Union over reopening.

Linda McMahon (R) — Trump Education Secretary, confirmed 2025.

Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) — Chair, Senate HELP Committee.

Rep. Brad Wenstrup (R-OH) — chaired House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Pandemic; subpoenaed AFT.

Bottom Line

Twelfth-grade math hit a record low. Forty-five percent of seniors test below NAEP Basic in math. Stanford’s number for the cost of pandemic learning loss alone is $31 trillion in lifetime US earnings. In the week the latest scores moved through education circles, the head of the American Federation of Teachers posted about immigration, DACA, and gerrymandering on Bluesky — then published a book about fascism. The job is reading. The job is math. The job is the kids.

Sources & Methodology · 16 Sources
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U.S. Dept. of Education — Sec. McMahon statement (Sept. 9, 2025)·Secretary McMahon statement on new Nation's Report Card scores for grades 8 and 12
NAEP figures are drawn directly from the National Assessment Governing Board’s January 29, 2025 and September 9, 2025 official press releases — the source of record for The Nation’s Report Card. Secretary Linda McMahon’s statements are quoted from her Department of Education official press release dated September 9, 2025. Senator Bill Cassidy’s statements are drawn from his official Senate HELP Committee release dated January 29, 2025. Randi Weingarten’s House Oversight testimony is taken from the Committee’s own April 2023 release. Her Bluesky posts are verbatim from her public profile at @rweingarten.bsky.social; she left X in January 2026, per Twitchy’s contemporaneous report. Stanford economist Eric Hanushek’s $31 trillion estimate is from the Hanushek & Strauss 2024 Stanford working paper; the larger compounded $90 trillion decade figure is from The 74’s interview with Hanushek. No statistic, quote, or attribution on this page is fabricated.